Publications
Kairosis: A method for dynamical probability forecast aggregation informed by Bayesian change-point detection
The Split: Analysing contest design in the Scottish Premier League
Skew-adjusted extremized-mean: A simple method for identifying and learning from contrarian minorities in groups of forecasters
Adaptive wavelet domain principal component analysis for nonstationary time series
Generalizing the Elo rating system for multiplayer games and races: why endurance is better than speed
Modelling bookings in association football
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